Live Tracker

EU–China Tariff & Trade War Tracker
2025–2026

The trade policy landscape between the EU and China is shifting faster than ever. New anti-dumping duties, countermeasures, and sector investigations are reshaping import costs for European buyers.

Last reviewed: May 2026 Updated monthly
Trade tension level
HIGH

Active EU anti-dumping investigations against China are at their highest level since 2019. The EV tariff dispute (up to 35.3%), solar panel anti-subsidy measures, and new CBAM carbon rules are all in force or imminent. EU importers sourcing from China need to factor in elevated duty risk across categories.

Timeline

Key trade developments — 2025–2026

2026
Escalation

EU extends EV anti-subsidy tariffs — up to 35.3%

Following the October 2024 provisional measures, the European Commission confirmed definitive countervailing duties on electric vehicles from China. BYD: +17.0%, Geely: +18.8%, SAIC: +35.3%. Other companies: +21.3%. Significant impact for any EV-adjacent components and accessories importers.

Electric Vehicles EV Components CBDR
Impact: High
New duty

Anti-dumping duties extended — stainless steel fasteners

EU Council renewed anti-dumping measures on imports of stainless steel fasteners from China. Duties range from 12.5%–87.0% depending on manufacturer. Buyers of industrial hardware and construction fittings from China face significantly elevated landed costs.

Hardware Fasteners Industrial
Impact: Medium
Escalation

China retaliates — EU brandy/spirits tariffs up to 34.4%

In retaliation for EU EV duties, China imposed provisional anti-dumping duties on EU brandy/spirits, hitting French cognac exporters hardest. EU–China trade relationship deteriorating into broader tit-for-tat pattern beyond automotive sector.

Trade Relations Retaliation risk
Impact: Medium (indirect)
Watch

EU Foreign Subsidies Regulation — new investigations launched

The European Commission opened formal investigations under the Foreign Subsidies Regulation (FSR) targeting Chinese companies bidding for EU public contracts and acquiring EU businesses. Indirect sourcing impact: tighter scrutiny on supply chain subsidies from China.

FSR Procurement All sectors
Impact: Low / Watch
2025
New duty

Anti-dumping duties — Chinese solar glass

EU imposed definitive anti-dumping duties of 17.1%–36.2% on solar glass from China after investigation found below-cost dumping. Affects importers buying solar panels and photovoltaic components sourced from Chinese manufacturers.

Solar / PV Glass Energy
Impact: High (solar sector)
Escalation

CBAM carbon border adjustment enters full operation

EU's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism entered its definitive phase covering steel, aluminium, cement, fertilizers, electricity, and hydrogen. Chinese exporters in covered sectors must now provide CBAM certificates. EU importers become legally responsible for CBAM compliance.

CBAM Steel Aluminium Carbon
Impact: High (metal categories)
Watch

EU launches investigation — Chinese wind turbines

European Commission opened an anti-subsidy investigation into Chinese wind turbine manufacturers. No duties yet but investigation signals continued expansion of EU trade defence measures into clean energy equipment beyond EVs.

Wind / Energy Investigation
Impact: Low / Watch
Relief

EU–China high-level trade dialogue resumed

EU and Chinese trade officials resumed quarterly dialogue, pausing the threat of tit-for-tat measures outside the EV dispute. Consumer goods and general merchandise sectors saw stabilisation in trade uncertainty. No new investigations announced in Q2 2025.

General trade Consumer goods
Impact: Positive / Stabilising
New duty

Anti-dumping — Chinese railway/metro wheels

New anti-dumping duties up to 33.7% on certain cast iron railway wheels from China. Limited direct impact for consumer goods importers but signals continued EU willingness to defend heavy manufacturing sectors.

Industrial Rail
Impact: Low (consumer goods)
Category impact

How current trade measures affect your category

Current (May 2026) duty exposure by product category for EU importers sourcing from China.

Consumer Electronics Medium

Standard EU customs duty 0–14%. No sector-specific anti-dumping duties currently active — but WEEE, battery regulation, and CBAM (if aluminium-heavy) apply. Watch for potential RED/LVD enforcement increase.

Effective rate range: 0–14% + VAT
Kitchenware / Cookware Medium

Standard duty 3–6.5% for most categories. Stainless steel cookware may attract steel-related CBAM costs. No active anti-dumping measures for general cookware. Ceramic articles at 0% for most tariff lines.

Effective rate range: 0–6.5% + VAT
Home Textiles Low

12% duty on most woven fabrics from China. Finished bed/bath/table linen at 6.3–12%. No current anti-dumping measures active. Sector risk is primarily regulatory (azo dyes, REACH) rather than tariff.

Effective rate: 6.3–12% + VAT
Baby & Children's Products Low

Toys and children's articles: 0–4.7% customs duty. Pushchairs/prams: 0–4.2%. No active AD measures. Risk concentrated in compliance (EN 71, REACH phthalates, GPSR) not tariffs.

Effective rate: 0–4.7% + VAT
Solar / PV Components High

Solar glass: 17.1–36.2% anti-dumping duty since Oct 2025. Solar cells/modules from China subject to minimum import price (MIP) agreement monitoring. High complexity — consult specialist before ordering.

Effective rate: 17–50%+ depending on product
Steel / Aluminium Products High

CBAM in full force for steel and aluminium imports since Sep 2025. Carbon certificates required. Safeguard measures on steel imports (25% additional duty above tariff-rate quota) remain active. Most exposed category.

Effective rate: 25%+ TRQ + CBAM cost
Garden & Outdoor Lighting Medium

LED luminaires: 3.5% customs duty. No active anti-dumping. Risk mainly from CE, LVD, and ErP/Ecodesign compliance. Solar garden lights may be caught by solar safeguards depending on PV component percentage.

Effective rate: 3.5–5% + VAT
Pet Products Watch

Standard duty 0–3.7% for most pet accessories. Pet food from China effectively blocked by EU novel food / feed safety rules. Commission investigating pet treat imports after multiple recall events in 2024–2025.

Effective rate: 0–3.7% + VAT (non-food)
Practical steps

What EU importers should do now

🔍

Check your HS codes

Anti-dumping and CBAM measures attach to specific HS tariff codes. Before ordering, verify the exact code for your product and check the TARIC database for active measures.

📊

Model the full landed cost

Include MFN duty, any anti-dumping/anti-subsidy duty, CBAM cost (if applicable), VAT, and freight in your margin calculations. Use our Cost Estimator →

🗓️

Time your orders strategically

Under investigation periods, duties are not yet confirmed — it may be worth ordering before a definitive measure is imposed if your supply chain allows. Check our Sourcing Calendar →

🌏

Diversify supply chain

For high-AD-risk categories, identify Vietnam, Malaysia, or India as alternative sourcing markets. Partial diversification reduces exposure to China-specific measures without abandoning the cost advantages entirely.

📋

Document country of origin carefully

Anti-circumvention rules mean EU customs are increasingly scrutinising "Made in [third country]" goods that contain substantial Chinese-manufactured components. Ensure your certificates of origin are accurate.

🔔

Monitor new investigations

The EU Official Journal publishes new trade defence investigation notices. Subscribe to DG Trade alerts or use our monthly intelligence reports to stay ahead of changes in your category.

Get trade risk intelligence in your monthly report

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